GER-50, the maths!
My notes on the GER number and growth from now to 2035
Essays on business models, pricing, credentials, and institutional strategy in higher education. An organised view of accumulated notes over the years on higherEd.
My notes on the GER number and growth from now to 2035
Global Capability Centres are replacing mass IT recruiters in India, offering higher wages for top talent while forcing corporate balance sheets to fund real education.
I explain how combining credit banking, corporate stipends, and apprenticeships can eliminate Indian student debt while solving graduate unemployability.
I argue that replacing seat time with competency-based progression and market-priced exits will redefine higher education in India.
Most colleges have exactly one revenue lever, and they have already pulled it as hard as it goes.
I examine how repurposed legacy colleges are becoming physical nodes for proctoring, mentorship, and skilling, bridging the gap between digital scale and local trust.
I argue that replacing course titles with evidence-linked skill graphs will reshape how Indian degrees are built, trusted, and valued by employers.
I argue that India needs an orderly institutional exit framework to eliminate zombie colleges and protect vulnerable students from a brutal market sorting.
I argue that focused universities outperform sprawling multiversities by offering students cohort density, employers clean signals, and industries a true talent commons.
India's online degree regulations and edtech platforms are converging to build campusless, outcome-focused digital universities that scale quality education beyond physical walls.
I argue that the National Credit Framework turns vocational skills into academic currency, unlocking employer-funded degrees at nationwide scale.
I examine how the state built the infrastructure for a national digital university but failed to operate it, allowing private insurgents to capture the format.
I explain why phasing out India's legacy affiliated college system will shrink institutional bloat and rebuild state public universities.
I explain how foreign campus regulations created a public-private partnership loop that allows private capital to run for-profit higher education in India.
India is phasing out affiliated colleges by 2035, forcing thousands of low-quality campuses to merge, grow autonomous, or shut down entirely.
I explain how the IIT Madras BS program shattered India's elite gatekeeping, solved distance education's status problem, and built a scalable blueprint for modular degrees.
India's target of adding forty million higher education seats faces demographic plateaus, fiscal limits, and broken delivery formats that require a complete rewrite of institutional models.
I examine how the IIT Madras online degree solved higher education's esteem problem and enabled Indian students to quietly construct their own modular degrees.
I examine how China built world-class universities by concentrating capital into a tiny cluster of flagships, offering a sharp lesson for India's diluted higher education policy.
I examine how Indian higher education shifted its financial burden onto households and leverage, leaving parents to fund a system in which they hold zero power.
A degree is four products sold as one. Only one of them is actually hard to replicate.
As traditional Indian degrees lose their market value, alt schools are replacing state-sanctioned credentials with verified placement outcomes.
I propose a 50-30-20 modular degree architecture that turns Indian higher education into a flexible, technology-enabled, lifelong system.
An endowment isn't a savings account. It's a promise to people who don't exist yet.
Renting someone else's growth engine works right up until you need it back.